October 19 referendum
Poll average for Question 10:
Should Alberta remain a province of Canada, or should the Government of Alberta commence the legal process required under the Canadian Constitution to hold a binding provincial referendum on whether or not Alberta should separate from Canada?
- Remain69.5%
- Start the process25.2%
- Undecided4.6%
Average as of October 19, 2026 · polls are plotted at their fieldwork dates and count in the average from those dates
Weighted average of voting intentions as of October 19, 2026
21 polls · 11 firms · fieldwork May 22, 2026 to October 18, 2026
| Option | Share |
|---|---|
| Remain | 69.5% |
| Start the process | 25.2% |
| Undecided | 4.6% |
The shares as the firms published them, averaged to the date on the slider — the same figures as the ones above. Like the releases themselves they need not add to 100: several firms print further categories.
All ten questions on the ballot
| Question | Polls | Yes | No | Unsure |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 56.8% | 37.7% | 6.0% | |
| 7* | 53.1% | 35.5% | 11.7% | |
| 6* | 52.1% | 36.7% | 12.2% | |
| 7* | 51.4% | 40.7% | 12.9% | |
| 7* | 61.0% | 33.6% | 6.0% | |
| 5* | 44.5% | 38.1% | 14.2% | |
| 6* | 44.6% | 41.6% | 14.6% | |
| 7* | 42.6% | 47.1% | 13.8% | |
| 6* | 44.7% | 39.6% | 14.4% | |
| Question | Polls | Remain | Start the process | Undecided |
| 21 | 69.5% | 25.2% | 4.6% |
Polls
Question 10
Research Co. — October 16–18, 2026
Mainstreet Research — October 15–16, 2026
Ipsos — October 13–16, 2026
Léger — October 14–16, 2026
Pollara Strategic Insights — October 2–15, 2026
Angus Reid Institute — October 13–15, 2026
Abacus Data — October 7–13, 2026
Press releasePublication
Léger — October 2–4, 2026
Innovative Research Group — September 4–28, 2026
Ipsos — September 18–22, 2026
Janet Brown Opinion Research — September 8–21, 2026
Abacus Data — September 4–7, 2026
Press releasePublication
Angus Reid Institute — August 26–September 1, 2026
Research Co. — August 24–26, 2026
Léger — August 21–23, 2026
Angus Reid Institute — August 10–13, 2026
Pollara — June 19–July 2, 2026
Press releasePublication
Spark Advocacy — June 7–12, 2026
Press releasePublication
Ipsos — May 28–June 1, 2026
Léger — May 29–June 1, 2026
Angus Reid Institute — May 22–24, 2026
Listed, not averaged
Canada Pulse Insights surveyed Calgary and Edmonton only, so this release carries no Alberta-wide figure, and on Questions 1 to 9 it published Yes figures alone, with no No and no undecided share. It is shown here for reference and is not counted in the average or in the ten-question table.
Canada Pulse Insights — September 30–October 9, 2026 · Edmonton
Canada Pulse Insights — September 30–October 9, 2026 · Calgary
Question 1
Do you support the Government of Alberta taking increased control over immigration for the purposes of decreasing immigration to more sustainable levels, prioritizing economic migration and giving Albertans first priority on new employment opportunities?
Mainstreet Research — October 15–16, 2026
Research Co. — August 24–26, 2026
Angus Reid Institute — August 10–13, 2026
Question 2
Do you support the Government of Alberta introducing a law mandating that only Canadian citizens, permanent residents and individuals with an Alberta-approved immigration status will be eligible for provincially-funded programs, such as health care, education and other social services?
Research Co. — August 24–26, 2026
Angus Reid Institute — August 10–13, 2026
Question 3
Assuming that all Canadian citizens and permanent residents continue to qualify for social support programs as they do now, do you support the Government of Alberta introducing a law requiring all individuals with a non-permanent legal immigration status to reside in Alberta for at least 12 months before qualifying for any provincially-funded social support programs?
Research Co. — August 24–26, 2026
Angus Reid Institute — August 10–13, 2026
Question 4
Assuming that all Canadian citizens and permanent residents continue to qualify for public health care and education as they do now, do you support the Government of Alberta charging a reasonable fee or premium to individuals with a non-permanent immigration status living in Alberta for their and their family's use of the healthcare and education systems?
Mainstreet Research — October 15–16, 2026
Research Co. — August 24–26, 2026
Angus Reid Institute — August 10–13, 2026
Question 5
Do you support the Government of Alberta introducing a law requiring individuals to provide proof of citizenship, such as a passport, birth certificate or citizenship card, to vote in an Alberta provincial election?
Mainstreet Research — October 15–16, 2026
Research Co. — August 24–26, 2026
Angus Reid Institute — August 10–13, 2026
Question 6
Do you support the Government of Alberta working with the governments of other willing provinces to amend the Canadian Constitution to have provincial governments, and not the federal government, select the justices appointed to provincial King's Bench and Appeal courts?
Angus Reid Institute — August 26–September 1, 2026
Research Co. — August 24–26, 2026
Angus Reid Institute — August 10–13, 2026
Question 7
Do you support the Government of Alberta working with the governments of other willing provinces to amend the Canadian Constitution to abolish the unelected federal Senate?
Mainstreet Research — October 15–16, 2026
Angus Reid Institute — August 26–September 1, 2026
Research Co. — August 24–26, 2026
Angus Reid Institute — August 10–13, 2026
Question 8
Do you support the Government of Alberta working with the governments of other willing provinces to amend the Canadian Constitution to allow provinces to opt out of federal programs that intrude on provincial jurisdiction such as health care, education, and social services, without a province losing any of the associated federal funding for use in its social programs?
Mainstreet Research — October 15–16, 2026
Research Co. — August 24–26, 2026
Angus Reid Institute — August 10–13, 2026
Question 9
Do you support the Government of Alberta working with the governments of other willing provinces to amend the Canadian Constitution to better protect provincial rights from federal interference by giving a province's laws dealing with provincial or shared areas of constitutional jurisdiction priority over federal laws when the province's laws and federal laws conflict?
Research Co. — August 24–26, 2026
Angus Reid Institute — August 10–13, 2026
Earlier separation polls
These did not ask Question 10. They asked, in various wordings, whether Alberta should separate from Canada or remain in it, and are not part of the average above.
Remain / leave wording
Abacus Data — October 7–13, 2026
Press releasePublication
Probe Research — April 27–May 6, 2026
Mainstreet Research — April 20–22, 2026
Janet Brown Opinion Research — April 7–22, 2026
Spark Insights — April 2–6, 2026
Press releasePublication
Pollara — March 16–25, 2026
Abacus Data — February 20–25, 2026
Press releasePublication
Pollara — December 5–20, 2025
Innovative Research Group — May 23–June 1, 2025
Press releasePublication
Innovative Research Group — May 12–22, 2025
Abacus Data — May 15–21, 2025
Press releasePublication
Janet Brown Opinion Research — May 7–21, 2025
Pollara — May 16–20, 2025
Angus Reid Institute — May 6–8, 2025
Innovative Research Group — April 28–29, 2025
Innovative Research Group — April 15–20, 2025
Angus Reid Institute — March 20–24, 2025
Yes / No wording
A Yes means something different in each of these. The question each firm put is shown beneath its name; the full wording is in the methodology.
Léger — April 3–6, 2026
Which of the following best reflects your view?
Léger — March 2–4, 2026
Which of the following best reflects your view?
Léger — January 23–26, 2026
Which of the following best reflects your view?
Ipsos — January 9–14, 2026
Would you vote Yes or No for your province to begin the process of separation from Canada and to seek a new agreement…
Research Co. — January 4–6, 2026
Do you support or oppose each one of the following ideas? Alberta becoming a country independent from Canada
EKOS Research — September 5–22, 2025
Please rate the extent to which you agree or disagree with the following statements: I think my province would be…
Léger — May 16–18, 2025
There has been ongoing public discussion about Alberta’s place within Canada and the possibility of different political…
Léger — May 9–12, 2025
Please indicate how much you support or oppose each of the following proposals related to Alberta and Western Canada’s…